モンスターヘッドフォン

モンスターヘッドフォン
モンスターヘッドフォン

Monday, May 28, 2012

Iran on the nuclear issue to maintain hard-line

Iran said it would continue to reserve the highly enriched uranium, and explicitly rejected the outside world to check the suspected military sites of the First Department. This shows that the Iranian government disappointed with the following: the concessions it made to its nuclear program, may not be in exchange for the international community to lift sanctions against Iraq.
Fei Leidun Abbasi - Dawa Ni (Fereydoon Abbasi, Davani), the person in charge of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (Atomic Energy Organisation), said last weekend that Iran was "no reason" to terminate the production of 20 percent enriched uranium. This concentration of enriched uranium is easily converted into 90 percent enriched uranium required for an atomic bomb.
Abbasi had hinted earlier in the production of a sufficient number of domestic civilian consumption required for 20% enriched uranium, Iran might suspend production of the raw materials. Iran has insisted its nuclear program for peaceful purposes.
Other Iranian officials have also published similar comments, which makes people even more speculation that Iran is ready to stop the production of high enriched uranium in exchange for the reward it by the international community, such as the United States and Europe to relax the energy and banking Iraq sanctions. These systems ruled that, effective July 1.

Earlier, Iran and the EU and the six countries (U.S., UK, France, Russia, China and Germany) in Baghdad, a two-day talks. During the talks, Iran and other talks to the fundamental differences in the talks fruitless. Subsequently, Iran made a stand mentioned at the beginning.
Abbasi also said that the suspect southeast of Tehran Parchin military bases to engage in nuclear weapons development, the United Nations atomic watchdog agency - the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that it is necessary to check the base, but the agency has not yet been to convince the Iranian government accept its claims.
Abbasi stressed: "We did not set up a nuclear base in Parchin.
It is believed that before the meeting in Baghdad, Iran has considered to allow inspectors access to Parchin base.
End of last week a two-day the Baghlan meeting, some Western diplomats think that the Iranian nuclear issue is difficult to make progress. Abbasi's remarks to the diplomats feel more depressed.
A senior diplomat to the British "Financial Times" said that he did not know whether the next round of meetings held in Moscow on June 18 progress, not sure whether the talks will be a complete breakdown.
Iran dare to maintain a tough stance in part because it knows that the Obama administration does not want the talks to collapse, according to the U.S. presidential election in November. The talks collapse, according to Israeli leaders will encourage more convinced that an attack on Iran in the summer or autumn.

Sunday, May 27, 2012

How to use econometric models to predict the

Demand for cars in the United States: consumer durables, "doctoral thesis at the University of Chicago, completed in 1955, published as a book in 1957. 1958, my thesis advisor, Arnold Harberger, Professor (The professor is still full-time professor of the University of California, Los Angeles, and I've been in 2001, retired) suggested that my papers and other papers of the updated demand for durable goods He assembled into a book, the book is published by the University of Chicago Press, 1960 Demand for durable goods. "
My paper has been published, I wrote a paper entitled "automobile statistics demand equation and Forecast on his book. In this article, I use the equations of the book published in 1957, using 1921-1953 annual data to estimate the equation to predict the 1954-1957 U.S. car sales, and compare the predicted results. In these four years, the equation predictions and the actual car sales are very close. If the predicted values ​​and actual sales gap is small enough to be able to draw the same conclusion in the 1953 to 1957 demand forecast equation. This gap is small enough to need a statistical test. I developed a statistical test to answer this question, and the results of my work published in 1960, "Econometrics", this method was later called the "Chow test" in econometric textbooks can be to find. The late 1950s, General Motors uses equations predict car sales. GM's chief economist, Andrew Court regularly informed of the accuracy of the forecasts proved to predict well.
Econometric equations predict that includes the following steps: (1) According to economic theory to build an econometric equation or even the simultaneous equations (2) use of statistics estimating equations to ensure that the equation can be fitted to the data; (3) Suppose the equation the future the same, make predictions based on this equation.
The first step in predicting car sales example, the book I published in 1957. I propose a hypothesis (at the time a new hypothesis), refers to the total amount of car use in the car stock (the new car's weight higher than second-hand cars), demand depends on the relative price of the car (car price index in addition to U.S. CPI) and real income. This is the basic economic theory: especially for consumer goods (this theory applies to non-durable consumer goods, but if I suggest that as with all stock measure of demand, then the consumer durables also applicable) negative correlation between demand and prices, and consumers revenues are related. The second step requirement to collect use data of the number of cars, car price index (I have to construct this price index, because then there is no public data available), the U.S. CPI and consumer income (these two indicators have open data). The above data explains the car stock demand equation. In order to get the annual purchase quantity, I use the following facts: the annual purchase amount is the total stock change minus the depreciation of the stock. In the third step, I assume that the demand equation, and 1968 prices and incomes, a number of assumptions and forecast results for car sales in 1968 will be slightly higher than 8 million vehicles in the mid-1950s, the Car of the Year sales of about one million five. Later proved to be the results of the 1968 forecast is correct.

The second example is the estimated demand equation of the total stock of a large computer in 1967, "American Economic Review, published a paper entitled" Technical change and the computer needs. A major problem: how to build a suitable number of index contains the 1954-1965 time frame covered by my research in a wide variety of computer types. If no new models entering the market, it can simply use any one year, for example, the 1964 weighted average number of computers, use them in the base year, for example, 1960 prices as weights. In order to deal with new computers to enter the market after 1960, I have estimated that they assumed in 1960 prices, while in 1960 they did not exist.

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

The low-end smartphones they burn out the brain

A new study has noted the potential risks of exposure to waves of phones. What to look twice before throwing their DAS his sights on a particular model. 

Bad news for mobile phone users. A study on the harmfulness of waves on health comes revive the controversy over the safety previously accepted the default of our wireless terminals. The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), WHO agency (Office of Global Health), has classified radiofrequency electromagnetic fields as possibly carcinogenic to humans "based on an increased risk of glioma , a type of malignant cancer of the brain, associated with the use of wireless phones, "says the agency in a statement.

These findings, details of which will soon be published in Volume 102 of the IARC Monographs, are derived from work of a group of 31 researchers from 14 countries met in Lyon in May 2011 to assess the carcinogenic potential of exposure to electromagnetic waves on the basis of the available literature to date on the subject. If the problem concerns mainly the waves about 5 billion mobile users a worldwide, they also will interest those who, professionally, are exposed to radar and microwaves, but also to any type of signal transmission radio, including television.
An increased risk of 40% among heavy users  グッチパスケース 261426KCN1N8870
Do not panic, however. Risks from exposure waves are considered "limited" for glioma and acoustic neuroma, and "insufficient" to involve them in some other cancers. However, IARC noted "an increased risk of 40% of glioma among the highest users (reported average 30 minutes per day over a period of 10 years)," based on a retrospective study of telephone use mobile dating, it is true, in 2004.
The fact remains that for Dr. Jonathan Samet (University of Southern California), chairman of the working group in question, "the data, which continue to accumulate, are sufficient to conclude that the 2B classification . This classification means that there could be a risk, and should therefore closely monitor the possible link between cell phones and cancer risk. " And advise the use of hands-free kits or texting to reduce exposure to air.

the Hawaiian shirt continues to inspire designers

After Stella McCartney and Givenchy, the Swedish brand H & M launches a cruise collection for tropical motifs, some parts are made of organic cotton and eco-friendly materials. 25% of sales from the collection will be donated to the organization WaterAid which provides clean water and sanitation to the poorest countries of mondre.

This casual collection for the whole family, honors the Hawaiian culture: printed dresses and skirts and headbands and skirts with matching Tahitian flowers, retro swimwear and a range of accessories (bags and transparent beaches bandanas グッチキーケース 212111FU49N1000) for Women. for men, a shirt and shorts printed palm, sunglasses, sandals. For large items will be distilled into junior size: highs and matching skirts for girls, shirts and shorts for boys.

The first Hawaiian shirt was born on the island in the Pacific 30 years. Despite the halt in production in 1988 of the famous clothing screenprinted with designs, created by Alfred Shaheen and immortalized by Elvis Presley and Frank Sinatra, as evidenced by the latest collection from H & M, the Hawaiian shirt continues to inspire designers.

The collection "H & M for Water" will go on sale May 31 outlets in 200 H & M in the world and in e-store of the brand グッチベルト(ラウンドバックル) 285464BNN0N6519.

Friday, May 18, 2012

Signs with PPR Yoox to strengthen its e-commerce

The luxury group PPR, which owns Gucci and Puma among others, has signed an alliance with the Italian merchant site Yoox to strengthen its presence in the area of e-commerce. The two companies are negotiating the creation of a joint venture.

"PPR is currently in discussions with commercial Yoox (...) to examine the possibility of working together on a project of e-commerce," said the company headed by Francois-Henri Pinault.

The news sent the company was after rumors have stated that the luxury brands group PPR would channel all their online activity on the Italian platform. Currently no official announcement of such a project has been made.

Waiting to know the details of the agreement, the alliance with PPR Yoox occurs parallel to the disinvestment that the French company wants to perform at Redcats, the department of distance selling, whose distribution is based on the Internet today.

Yoox is a leading online business that has three lines of business: Yoox, spaces and management of multi virtual stores of different brands such as Diesel, or Bikkembergs Dolce & Gabbana.